Measure is unceasing

Forecasting Newsletter: June 2020.

Highlights

  1. Facebook launches Forecast, a community for crowdsourced predictions.
  2. Foretell, a forecasting tournament by the Center for Security and Emerging Technology, is now open.
  3. A Preliminary Look at Metaculus and Expert Forecasts: Metaculus forecasters do better.

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Index

In the News.

Prediction Markets & Forecasting platforms.

Ordered in subjective order of importance:

Negative examples.

Hard to categorize.

Long Content.

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“I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible that you may be mistaken.” Oliver Cromwell