In 2022/09…

• 2022/09/02: Simple estimation examples in Squiggle
• 2022/09/10: Forecasting Newsletter: August 2022.
• 2022/09/11: Distribution of salaries in Spain
• 2022/09/12: An experiment eliciting relative estimates for Open Philanthropy’s 2018 AI safety grants
• 2022/09/15: Use distributions to more parsimoniously estimate impact
• 2022/09/19: Utilitarianism: An Incomplete Approach
• 2022/09/23: $5k challenge to quantify the impact of 80,000 hours’ top career paths
• 2022/09/28: Use a less coarse analysis of AMF beneficiary age and consider counterfactual deaths